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C.A.R. Pending Home Sales Index

July 21, 2011

C.A.R. Pending Home Sales Index

For release:
July 20, 2011

California pending home sales rise in June, distressed properties remain flat C.A.R. reports

LOS ANGELES (July 20) – California pending home sales rose for the second consecutive month in June, while the share of distressed property sales was unchanged, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today.

Pending home sales:

Pending home sales in California rose in June, according to C.A.R.’s Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI)*. The index was 119.0 in June, an increase of 1.9 percent from May’s revised index of 116.8, based on contracts signed in June. The index also was up 4.4 percent from June 2010. Pending home sales are forward-looking indicators of future home sales activity, providing information on the future direction of the market.

“Pending home sales have improved in the last couple of months and the next few months should bring continued gains,” said C.A.R. President Beth L. Peerce. “So much depends on the direction of the economy going forward. As for the makeup of the market, distressed sales continue to be a significant part of the market with the split between short sales and REO sales varying greatly across the state.”

Distressed housing market data:

The total share of all distressed property types sold statewide was unchanged in June from May’s revised 47 percent. The share also was unchanged from a year prior.
Of the distressed properties sold statewide, 19 percent were short sales, a decline from last month’s share of 20 percent and last year’s share of 21 percent.
At 27 percent, the share of REO (real estate-owned) sales was unchanged compared with May, but was up from 25 percent reported in June 2010.
Non-distressed sales made up the remaining share of home sales in June at 53 percent, unchanged from both previous month and year.
Multimedia:

View a video of C.A.R. Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young discussing highlights of the June existing home sales and price report, which was released July 14.
View a chart of pending sales compared with closed sales.

# # #
Share of Distressed Sales to Total Sales
(Single-family)
Type of Sale June-10 May-11 June-11
REOs 25% 27% 27%
Short Sales 21% 20% 19%
Total Distressed Sales 47% 47% 47%

Single-family Distressed Home Sales by Select Counties
(Percent of total sales)
County June-10 May-11 June-11
Amador 44% 61% 51%
Butte 27% 44% 34%
Humboldt 20% 17% 29%
Kern 68% 66% 66%
Lake 62% 80% 86%
Los Angeles 47% 45% 47%
Madera 54% 85% 83%
Marin 20% 28% 26%
Mendocino 32% 51% 63%
Merced 53% 59% 64%
Napa 49% 43% 51%
Orange 33% 36% 35%
Riverside 69% 65% 61%
Sacramento 62% 65% 65%
San Bernardino 69% 69% 69%
San Diego 25% 29% 28%
San Luis Obispo 40% 40% 42%
Solano 66% 71% 72%
Sonoma 43% 48% 51%
Tehama 67% 62% 73%
CALIFORNIA 47% 47% 47%

*Note: C.A.R.’s pending sales information is generated from a survey of more than 70 associations of REALTORS® and MLSs throughout the state. Pending home sales are forward-looking indicators of future home sales activity, offering solid information on future changes in the direction of the market. A sale is listed as pending after a seller has accepted a sales contract on a property. The majority of pending home sales usually becomes closed sales transactions one to two months later. The year 2008 was used as the benchmark for the Pending Homes Sales Index. An index of 100 is equal to the average level of contract activity during 2008.

Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 100 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States, with more than 160,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.

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